tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Detroit via New York: arrives on time 62%

  1. 11:12 XNA → 15:14 LGA
    DL 5482 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 3h 02m · 79% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 46m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:00 LGA → 19:15 DTW
    DL 999 · Delta · 2h 15m · 74% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 61 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 46m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip7h 03mXNA 11:12 to DTW 19:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.