tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Washington via New York: arrives on time 51%

  1. 11:12 XNA → 15:14 LGA
    DL 5482 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 3h 02m · 79% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 06m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:20 LGA → 18:58 DCA
    DL 5717 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 38m · 62% on time, 9.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 81 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 06m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (9.5% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip6h 46mXNA 11:12 to DCA 18:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.