tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Phoenix via Minneapolis: arrives on time 70%

  1. 14:45 DSM → 15:58 MSP
    DL 5490 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 13m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 50m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:48 MSP → 20:10 PHX
    DL 2297 · Delta · 3h 22m · 73% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Des Moines). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 50m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip7h 25mDSM 14:45 to PHX 20:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.