tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Washington via Minneapolis: arrives on time 67%

  1. 14:45 DSM → 15:58 MSP
    DL 5490 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 13m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 4h 02m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 MSP → 23:27 DCA
    DL 2961 · Delta · 2h 26m · 71% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Des Moines). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 197 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 02m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip7h 41mDSM 14:45 to DCA 23:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.