tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Huntsville → Detroit via New York: arrives on time 24%

  1. 16:40 HSV → 20:06 LGA
    DL 5496 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 29m · 51% on time, 18.2% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:00 LGA → 23:10 DTW
    DL 1014 · Delta · 2h 10m · 70% on time, 5.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of Huntsville). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (18.2% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (5.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 30mHSV 16:40 to DTW 23:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.