tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Phoenix via Atlanta: arrives on time 63%

  1. 07:20 XNA → 10:17 ATL
    DL 5497 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 58m · 87% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:10 ATL → 12:12 PHX
    DL 796 · Delta · 4h 02m · 81% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 52mXNA 07:20 to PHX 12:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.