tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Newark via Minneapolis: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:45 TYS → 08:18 MSP
    DL 5523 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 33m · 92% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:14 MSP → 12:56 EWR
    DL 2895 · Delta · 2h 42m · 81% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 34 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 11mTYS 06:45 to EWR 12:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.