tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Phoenix via Charlotte: arrives on time 81%

  1. 07:00 MSN → 10:16 CLT
    AA 1002 · American · 2h 16m · 93% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 4h 24m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:40 CLT → 16:10 PHX
    AA 1711 · American · 4h 30m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 219 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 24m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip11h 10mMSN 07:00 to PHX 16:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.