tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Minneapolis via Charlotte: arrives on time 79%

  1. 07:00 MSN → 10:16 CLT
    AA 1002 · American · 2h 16m · 93% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:15 CLT → 12:54 MSP
    AA 2153 · American · 2h 39m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 54mMSN 07:00 to MSP 12:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.