tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Chicago via Charlotte: arrives on time 68%

  1. 07:00 MSN → 10:16 CLT
    AA 1002 · American · 2h 16m · 93% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 49m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:05 CLT → 14:20 ORD
    AA 836 · American · 2h 15m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 124 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 49m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip7h 20mMSN 07:00 to ORD 14:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.