tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Washington via Charlotte: arrives on time 71%

  1. 07:00 MSN → 10:16 CLT
    AA 1002 · American · 2h 16m · 93% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:14 CLT → 12:59 DCA
    AA 5527 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 44m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip4h 58mMSN 07:00 to DCA 12:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.