tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Providence → Chicago via Philadelphia: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:16 PVD → 07:40 PHL
    AA 1008 · American · 1h 24m · 96% on time, 10.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:58 PHL → 10:38 ORD
    AA 2095 · American · 2h 40m · 81% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Providence). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (10.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 22mPVD 06:16 to ORD 10:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.