tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Chicago via Philadelphia: arrives on time 71%

  1. 06:08 XNA → 09:59 PHL
    AA 1015 · American · 2h 51m · 93% on time, 6.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 43m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:42 PHL → 14:15 ORD
    AA 2925 · American · 2h 33m · 79% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 118 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 43m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (6.7% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip8h 07mXNA 06:08 to ORD 14:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.