tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Detroit via Philadelphia: arrives on time 55%

  1. 06:08 XNA → 09:59 PHL
    AA 1015 · American · 2h 51m · 93% on time, 6.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 59m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:58 PHL → 15:54 DTW
    AA 5427 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 56m · 61% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 194 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 59m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (6.7% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip8h 46mXNA 06:08 to DTW 15:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.