tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Minneapolis via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 44%

  1. 06:10 PHX → 10:42 DFW
    AA 1018 · American · 2h 32m · 90% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:55 DFW → 14:19 MSP
    AA 2145 · American · 2h 24m · 48% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (48%).
Total trip6h 09mPHX 06:10 to MSP 14:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.