tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Louisville via Charlotte: arrives on time 75%

  1. 07:55 LGA → 10:01 CLT
    AA 1023 · American · 2h 06m · 85% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 25m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:26 CLT → 15:03 SDF
    AA 5397 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 37m · 79% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 160 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 25m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 08mLGA 07:55 to SDF 15:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.