tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Dayton via Chicago: arrives on time 70%

  1. 09:42 CLT → 11:00 ORD
    AA 1038 · American · 2h 18m · 83% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 10m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:10 ORD → 15:35 DAY
    AA 5008 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 25m · 79% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 85 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 10m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 53mCLT 09:42 to DAY 15:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.