tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Cleveland via New York: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:00 MIA → 09:05 JFK
    AA 1040 · American · 3h 05m · 90% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 25m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:30 JFK → 14:25 CLE
    AA 4453 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 55m · 84% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 160 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 25m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip8h 25mMIA 06:00 to CLE 14:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.