tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Hebron via New York: arrives on time 82%

  1. 06:00 MIA → 09:05 JFK
    AA 1040 · American · 3h 05m · 90% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:10 JFK → 13:21 CVG
    AA 4609 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 14m · 89% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip7h 24mMIA 06:00 to CVG 13:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.