tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Jacksonville via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 24%

  1. 15:00 LGA → 18:05 DFW
    AA 1043 · American · 4h 05m · 61% on time, 6.1% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:52 DFW → 22:24 JAX
    AA 2263 · American · 2h 32m · 49% on time, 5.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (6.1% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (5.2% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip7h 24mLGA 15:00 to JAX 22:24, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.