tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via New York: arrives on time 66%

  1. 08:40 MIA → 11:43 LGA
    AA 1046 · American · 3h 03m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 57m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:40 LGA → 16:08 XNA
    AA 4524 · American, flown by Republic · 3h 28m · 73% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 72 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 57m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip8h 28mMIA 08:40 to XNA 16:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.