tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Miami via New York: arrives on time 32%

  1. 13:10 DFW → 17:56 JFK
    AA 1049 · American · 3h 46m · 58% on time, 6.9% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:50 JFK → 22:22 MIA
    AA 1174 · American · 3h 32m · 74% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (6.9% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip8h 12mDFW 13:10 to MIA 22:22, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.