Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Los Angeles → Tampa via Chicago: arrives on time 40%
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11:40 LAX → 18:12 ORDAA 1050 · American · 4h 32m · 61% on time, 2.8% cancelled
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1h 05m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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19:17 ORD → 21:52 TPAAA 353 · American · 2h 50m · 63% on time, 1.0% cancelled
Total trip 8h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip8h 27mLAX 11:40 to TPA 21:52, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.