Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Los Angeles → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Chicago: arrives on time 35%
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11:40 LAX → 18:12 ORDAA 1050 · American · 4h 32m · 61% on time, 2.8% cancelled
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48m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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19:00 ORD → 21:00 XNAAA 4105 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 00m · 70% on time, 1.3% cancelled
Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 2 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 20mLAX 11:40 to XNA 21:00, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.