tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Austin via New York: arrives on time 81%

  1. 08:22 MIA → 11:30 JFK
    AA 1051 · American · 3h 08m · 89% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 10m layover in New York (JFK) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:40 JFK → 16:47 AUS
    DL 1643 · Delta · 4h 10m · 86% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 9h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 10m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip9h 28mMIA 08:22 to AUS 16:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.