tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Indianapolis via New York: arrives on time 70%

  1. 09:55 MIA → 13:04 JFK
    AA 1052 · American · 3h 09m · 83% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 26m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:30 JFK → 18:02 IND
    AA 4449 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 32m · 76% on time, 5.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 101 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 26m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (5.1% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip8h 07mMIA 09:55 to IND 18:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.