tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Tulsa via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 47%

  1. 08:00 SAN → 13:10 DFW
    AA 1055 · American · 3h 10m · 84% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:57 DFW → 15:16 TUL
    AA 5420 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 19m · 66% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 2 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 34 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip5h 16mSAN 08:00 to TUL 15:16, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.