tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rochester → Chicago via Charlotte: arrives on time 82%

  1. 05:00 ROC → 06:54 CLT
    AA 1058 · American · 1h 54m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 41m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:35 CLT → 11:59 ORD
    UA 4680 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 24m · 86% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Rochester). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 131 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 41m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip7h 59mROC 05:00 to ORD 11:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.