tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Rapid City via Chicago: arrives on time 86%

  1. 08:30 DFW → 11:10 ORD
    AA 1059 · American · 2h 40m · 83% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 10m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:20 ORD → 14:55 RAP
    AA 3767 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 35m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Rapid City is 1 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 85 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 10m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip7h 25mDFW 08:30 to RAP 14:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.