tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Dayton via Chicago: arrives on time 78%

  1. 08:30 DFW → 11:10 ORD
    AA 1059 · American · 2h 40m · 83% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:00 ORD → 17:30 DAY
    UA 5810 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 30m · 84% on time, 4.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dayton is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (4.3% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip8h 00mDFW 08:30 to DAY 17:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.