tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Detroit via New York: arrives on time 36%

  1. 17:50 CLT → 19:45 LGA
    AA 1060 · American · 2h 00m · 62% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:44 LGA → 22:49 DTW
    AA 4598 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 05m · 67% on time, 7.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (7.8% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip4h 59mCLT 17:50 to DTW 22:49, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.