tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Louisville via Charlotte: arrives on time 68%

  1. 05:31 BNA → 08:00 CLT
    AA 1065 · American · 1h 29m · 92% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 39m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:39 CLT → 11:24 SDF
    AA 5395 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 45m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 54 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 39m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip4h 53mBNA 05:31 to SDF 11:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.