tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Santa Ana via Phoenix: arrives on time 45%

  1. 19:17 DFW → 19:54 PHX
    AA 1079 · American · 2h 37m · 49% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:07 PHX → 22:26 SNA
    AA 2637 · American · 1h 19m · 82% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 2 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip5h 09mDFW 19:17 to SNA 22:26, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.