tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Washington via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 54%

  1. 13:35 PHX → 18:12 DFW
    AA 1079 · American · 2h 37m · 73% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 48m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 DFW → 23:59 DCA
    AA 2077 · American · 2h 59m · 64% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 63 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 48m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip7h 24mPHX 13:35 to DCA 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.