tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Austin via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 29%

  1. 13:35 PHX → 18:12 DFW
    AA 1079 · American · 2h 37m · 73% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:00 DFW → 20:03 AUS
    AA 789 · American · 1h 03m · 55% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip4h 28mPHX 13:35 to AUS 20:03, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.