tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Rapid City via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 66%

  1. 13:35 PHX → 18:12 DFW
    AA 1079 · American · 2h 37m · 73% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 51m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:03 DFW → 21:32 RAP
    AA 3567 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 29m · 75% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Rapid City is 1 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 66 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 51m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 57mPHX 13:35 to RAP 21:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.