tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Harrisburg via Philadelphia: arrives on time 33%

  1. 14:25 DFW → 18:52 PHL
    AA 1100 · American · 3h 27m · 62% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:45 PHL → 21:03 MDT
    AA 6109 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 15m · 61% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Harrisburg is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip5h 35mDFW 14:25 to MDT 21:03, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.