tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Houston via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 11%

  1. 13:25 ORD → 15:59 DFW
    AA 1120 · American · 2h 34m · 49% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:51 DFW → 18:08 IAH
    AA 1929 · American · 1h 17m · 28% on time, 7.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time11%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (7.8% are) and within 15 minutes (28%).
Total trip4h 43mORD 13:25 to IAH 18:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.