tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Seattle via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 25%

  1. 13:25 ORD → 15:59 DFW
    AA 1120 · American · 2h 34m · 49% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:55 DFW → 19:15 SEA
    AA 2009 · American · 4h 18m · 57% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip7h 48mORD 13:25 to SEA 19:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.