tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → San Francisco via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 28%

  1. 13:25 ORD → 15:59 DFW
    AA 1120 · American · 2h 34m · 49% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 53m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:52 DFW → 19:39 SFO
    AA 3072 · American · 3h 47m · 39% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 68 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 53m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (39%).
Total trip8h 14mORD 13:25 to SFO 19:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.