tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 33%

  1. 13:25 ORD → 15:59 DFW
    AA 1120 · American · 2h 34m · 49% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:55 DFW → 18:15 XNA
    AA 3837 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 20m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip4h 50mORD 13:25 to XNA 18:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.