tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Tucson via Phoenix: arrives on time 27%

  1. 20:30 DFW → 21:02 PHX
    AA 1133 · American · 2h 32m · 64% on time, 12.7% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 PHX → 22:36 TUS
    AA 2622 · American · 46m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tucson is 2 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection43%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 57% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (12.7% are) × connection made (43%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip4h 06mDFW 20:30 to TUS 22:36, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.