tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → El Paso via Phoenix: arrives on time 23%

  1. 20:30 DFW → 21:02 PHX
    AA 1133 · American · 2h 32m · 64% on time, 12.7% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:53 PHX → 00:10 ELP +1 day
    AA 6216 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 17m · 57% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (El Paso is 1 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection47%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 53% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (12.7% are) × connection made (47%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip4h 40mDFW 20:30 to ELP 00:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.