tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Grand Junction via Phoenix: arrives on time 30%

  1. 20:30 DFW → 21:02 PHX
    AA 1133 · American · 2h 32m · 64% on time, 12.7% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:48 PHX → 00:16 GJT +1 day
    AA 6318 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 28m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Grand Junction is 1 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection42%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 58% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (12.7% are) × connection made (42%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip4h 46mDFW 20:30 to GJT 00:16, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.