tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Jacksonville via Philadelphia: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:00 BOS → 07:37 PHL
    AA 1146 · American · 1h 43m · 95% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:30 PHL → 10:57 JAX
    AA 2916 · American · 2h 25m · 90% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip4h 55mBOS 06:00 to JAX 10:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.