tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Rochester via Philadelphia: arrives on time 84%

  1. 06:00 BOS → 07:37 PHL
    AA 1146 · American · 1h 43m · 95% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:50 PHL → 10:21 ROC
    AA 6126 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 31m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip4h 21mBOS 06:00 to ROC 10:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.