Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Buffalo via Philadelphia: arrives on time 35%

  1. 19:37 BOS → 21:20 PHL
    AA 1147 · American · 1h 43m · 46% on time, 3.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:20 PHL → 23:53 BUF
    AA 5911 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 33m · 82% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (3.9% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip4h 16mBOS 19:37 to BUF 23:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.