tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Washington via Boston: arrives on time 52%

  1. 15:55 PHL → 17:19 BOS
    AA 1147 · American · 1h 24m · 51% on time, 3.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 18m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:37 BOS → 22:19 DCA
    AA 1004 · American · 1h 43m · 58% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 153 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 18m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (3.5% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip6h 25mPHL 15:55 to DCA 22:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.