tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Memphis via Chicago: arrives on time 85%

  1. 00:50 PHX → 06:25 ORD
    AA 1148 · American · 3h 35m · 79% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 44m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:09 ORD → 10:01 MEM
    AA 3959 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 52m · 95% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 59 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 44m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip7h 11mPHX 00:50 to MEM 10:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.