tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Cleveland via Chicago: arrives on time 87%

  1. 00:50 PHX → 06:25 ORD
    AA 1148 · American · 3h 35m · 79% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 40m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:05 ORD → 11:41 CLE
    UA 3422 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 36m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Cleveland is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 70 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 40m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip7h 51mPHX 00:50 to CLE 11:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.